Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 15.320447 17.351984 19.499544 21.933543 24.610100 27.458162 30.712309
2025-01-26 12.952174 15.861985 19.130069 23.050963 27.604616 32.703471 38.820503
2025-02-02 11.722558 15.375268 19.698522 25.140875 31.753040 39.468148 49.088402
2025-02-09 10.336444 14.462239 19.589423 26.332728 34.861918 45.179544 58.480627
2025-02-16 8.825125 13.152511 18.789298 26.516421 36.662240 49.346892 66.197226
2025-02-23 7.395105 11.731302 17.645133 26.080303 37.552589 52.340955 72.532404
2025-03-02 6.288808 10.591943 16.721795 25.794040 38.536869 55.422702 79.049141
2025-03-09 5.493058 9.785638 16.152001 25.896600 39.985373 59.116908 86.465965
2025-03-16 4.735009 8.925704 15.395562 25.630492 40.847645 61.999883 92.857574
2025-03-23 4.423081 8.735229 15.614123 26.788348 43.774875 67.824117 103.467364
2025-03-30 3.965841 8.235657 15.289284 27.071807 45.402100 71.850483 111.689956
2025-04-06 3.366170 7.400243 14.330919 26.271184 45.322357 73.380646 116.387000
2025-04-13 2.803488 6.561185 13.297451 25.291823 44.945979 74.518419 120.668762
2025-04-20 2.641745 6.468188 13.538955 26.424469 47.933884 80.778914 132.671891
2025-04-27 2.652136 6.721217 14.414901 28.681410 52.826339 90.099655 149.524421
2025-05-04 2.522147 6.664688 14.716682 29.960334 56.183015 97.186045 163.253647
2025-05-11 2.266811 6.301271 14.407503 30.135954 57.716311 101.492658 172.902529
2025-05-18 1.966577 5.787767 13.754198 29.635044 58.069760 103.937592 179.754243
2025-05-25 1.722547 5.361355 13.223697 29.307440 58.679580 106.783903 187.283430
2025-06-01 1.548916 5.074514 12.942880 29.415404 60.028320 110.838340 196.787380
2025-06-08 1.360823 4.716203 12.472188 29.116641 60.628772 113.672330 204.419754
2025-06-15 1.314981 4.728308 12.799815 30.398884 64.114584 121.375048 220.037236
2025-06-22 1.201236 4.533320 12.649386 30.711861 65.842963 126.187758 231.108323